Watch: Polymarket’s $170M Dispute and Resolution Risk
Watch PF’s June 2026 discussion of the Strategy Bitcoin-sale market dispute, UMA’s resolution process and the risks of ambiguous event contracts.
Archive video: first published on YouTube on 2 June 2026. Duration: 31 minutes, 30 seconds. This watch page was added on 24 October 2026.
Prediction Frontier examines the dispute around a Polymarket contract concerning whether Strategy sold Bitcoin, and the questions it raised about evidence, event wording and market resolution. The episode considers competing interpretations of the contract and the role of UMA in resolving disputed outcomes.
In this episode
The timing of Strategy’s actions and its SEC 8-K filing.
A trader’s complaint about how the contract rules were applied.
Competing Yes, No and unresolved interpretations of the event.
Polymarket’s dispute process, UMA and the wider problem of resolution risk.
The discussion reflects the dispute as it stood at the time of recording. It should be read in that historical context.
Watch the original video on YouTube or explore Prediction Frontier’s research.