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Original reporting and curated coverage on every market that moves — politics, sports, crypto, US elections, the FIFA 2026 World Cup, and the regulation that shapes them all.

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Markets

Kalshi Sets Weekly High at $4.13B Volume as Polymarket Continues Slide to $1.60B

Kalshi's lead in combined notional volume has stretched to more than 2.5-to-1 in six weeks. The story is sports — and Polymarket's softening across every other category.

Markets Desk · Recent
Regulation & Policy

Minnesota Quietly Advances Sweeping Prediction Market Ban Inside Must-Pass Public Safety Bill

A standalone ban stalled in the Minnesota House. Lawmakers have now inserted near-identical language into the public safety omnibus — and a conference committee has just signed off.

Policy Desk · Recent
Regulation & Policy

CFTC Files Amicus Brief Defending Exclusive Jurisdiction Over Prediction Markets

The agency's filing in the Sixth Circuit is its latest move in an escalating jurisdictional fight with state authorities. “We will see you in court,” Chairman Selig says.

Policy Desk · Recent
Regulation & Policy

Kentucky AG: State Can Regulate Sports Betting on Prediction Markets

Attorney General Russell Coleman, backed by 40 other state AGs, tells the CFTC there is “not a dollar's worth of difference” between Kalshi-and-Polymarket sports contracts and ordinary sportsbook bets.

Policy Desk · Recent

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Prediction Frontier is an independent media, research, and education hub dedicated to prediction markets. We publish original reporting, quarterly and annual research reports, plain-language explainers, a live regulatory tracker, and aggregated market data from every major prediction-market platform. We do not run a market, take positions, or accept funding from any operator we cover editorially.

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