Markets
Prediction markets traded $3.4B in notional volume on 14 October 2026, up 1.6% on the day before.
2,803 live contracts across 2 synced venues.
All prediction markets live data
Source: Dune · figures to 14 Oct 2026 (UTC) · How we measure this
$3.4bn
Total notional volume
+1.6% vs prior 24h
72,975
Prediction markets unique users
+4.6% vs prior 24h
19,420,856
Total market transactions
+1.9% vs prior 24h
$2.1bn
Total open interest
+5.9% vs prior 24h
- Kalshi
- Polymarket US
- Polymarket
- Crypto.com
- Predict
- Limitless
- Other
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $2.7bn | 78.6% |
| Polymarket US | $417.9m | 12.4% |
| Polymarket | $152.7m | 4.5% |
| Other | $84.1m | 2.5% |
| Crypto.com | $38.3m | 1.1% |
| Predict | $31.2m | 0.9% |
| Limitless | $392,360 | 0.0% |
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 50,180 | 68.8% |
| Predict | 19,039 | 26.1% |
| Other | 3,529 | 4.8% |
| Limitless | 227 | 0.3% |
| Kalshi | — | — |
| Polymarket US | — | — |
| Crypto.com | — | — |
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 14,498,234 | 74.7% |
| Polymarket US | 2,395,795 | 12.3% |
| Polymarket | 1,350,943 | 7.0% |
| Predict | 848,002 | 4.4% |
| Other | 325,152 | 1.7% |
| Limitless | 2,730 | 0.0% |
| Crypto.com | — | — |
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $1.5bn | 69.9% |
| Polymarket | $348.1m | 16.3% |
| Polymarket US | $242m | 11.3% |
| Other | $39.4m | 1.8% |
| Predict | $12m | 0.6% |
| Limitless | $318,107 | 0.0% |
| Crypto.com | — | — |
- Contracts count at $1 face value; unique users cover on-chain venues only.
Kalshi vs Polymarket vs others
Source: Dune · 14–14 Oct 2026 (UTC)
| Kalshi | $2.7bn | 78.6% | +0.0% | $1.5bn | $183.25 | — |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket US | $417.9m | 12.4% | +16.4% | $242m | $174.45 | — |
| Polymarket | $152.7m | 4.5% | +5.8% | $348.1m | $113.04 | 50,180 |
| Other | $84.1m | 2.5% | −14.5% | $39.4m | $258.50 | 3,529 |
| Crypto.com | $38.3m | 1.1% | −5.0% | — | — | — |
| Predict | $31.2m | 0.9% | +4.9% | $12m | $36.74 | 19,039 |
| Limitless | $392,360 | 0.0% | +1.5% | $318,107 | $143.72 | 227 |
Breaking and trending markets
The busiest contracts on each venue right now, excluding sports.
The five busiest contracts on each venue, ranked by volume over the last 24 hours.
Kalshi: no contract with live volume in the last 90 minutes.
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
100.0%
| Time (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 12:45 | 19.5% |
| 15 Oct, 13:45 | 18.5% |
| 15 Oct, 14:45 | 17.5% |
| 15 Oct, 15:45 | 17.5% |
| 15 Oct, 16:45 | 17.0% |
| 15 Oct, 17:45 | 16.5% |
| 15 Oct, 18:45 | 17.5% |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | 17.5% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 | 17.5% |
| 15 Oct, 21:45 | 19.0% |
| 15 Oct, 22:45 | 21.5% |
| 15 Oct, 23:45 | 48.0% |
| 16 Oct, 00:45 | 24.0% |
| 16 Oct, 01:45 | 92.1% |
| 16 Oct, 02:45 | 97.0% |
| 16 Oct, 03:30 | 97.4% |
| 16 Oct, 03:45 | 97.5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:00 | 92.8% |
| 16 Oct, 04:15 | 91.5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:30 | 94.8% |
| 16 Oct, 04:45 | 94.5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:00 | 93.3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:15 | 94.7% |
| 16 Oct, 05:30 | 97.7% |
| 16 Oct, 05:45 | 97.8% |
| 16 Oct, 06:00 | 97.4% |
| 16 Oct, 06:15 | 97.8% |
| 16 Oct, 06:30 | 97.4% |
| 16 Oct, 06:45 | 96.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:00 | 96.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:15 | 96.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:30 | 96.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:45 | 96.9% |
| 16 Oct, 08:00 | 96.5% |
| 16 Oct, 08:30 | 96.4% |
| 16 Oct, 08:45 | 96.7% |
| 16 Oct, 09:00 | 95.5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:15 | 95.0% |
| 16 Oct, 09:30 | 94.5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:45 | 95.0% |
| 16 Oct, 10:00 | 93.7% |
| 16 Oct, 10:15 | 95.5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:45 | 94.8% |
| 16 Oct, 11:15 | 96.7% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 | 97.3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:45 | 97.0% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 | 96.7% |
| 16 Oct, 12:15 | 96.8% |
| 16 Oct, 12:30 | 95.0% |
| 16 Oct, 12:45 | 94.8% |
| 16 Oct, 13:00 | 94.0% |
| 16 Oct, 13:15 | 94.3% |
| 16 Oct, 13:30 | 95.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 | 96.2% |
| 16 Oct, 14:00 | 96.9% |
| 16 Oct, 14:15 | 97.4% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 | 98.3% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 | 99.2% |
| 16 Oct, 15:00 | 98.5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:15 | 98.1% |
| 16 Oct, 15:30 | 99.1% |
| 16 Oct, 15:45 | 99.4% |
| 16 Oct, 16:00 | 99.6% |
| 16 Oct, 16:15 | 99.7% |
| 16 Oct, 16:30 | 99.5% |
| 16 Oct, 16:45 | 99.9% |
| 16 Oct, 17:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 17:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 17:45 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 18:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 18:15 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 18:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 18:45 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 19:15 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 19:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 19:45 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 20:15 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 20:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 20:45 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 21:45 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 22:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 22:15 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 22:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 22:45 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 23:00 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 23:15 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 | 100.0% |
| 16 Oct, 23:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 00:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 00:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 00:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 00:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 01:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 01:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 01:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 01:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 02:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 02:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 02:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 02:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 03:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 03:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 04:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 04:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 05:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 05:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 05:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 05:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 06:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 06:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 06:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 06:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 08:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 08:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 08:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 08:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 09:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 09:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 10:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 10:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 10:45 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:00 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:15 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:30 | 100.0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:45 | 100.0% |
- 24h
- +6.3pp
- Volume
- $5.4m
Why it moved
No editor note yet.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
76.6%
| Time (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 12:45 | 79.3% |
| 15 Oct, 13:45 | 79.5% |
| 15 Oct, 14:45 | 79.7% |
| 15 Oct, 15:45 | 78.0% |
| 15 Oct, 16:45 | 75.4% |
| 15 Oct, 17:45 | 77.0% |
| 15 Oct, 18:45 | 77.1% |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | 78.5% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 | 77.0% |
| 15 Oct, 21:45 | 76.8% |
| 15 Oct, 22:45 | 78.5% |
| 15 Oct, 23:45 | 79.5% |
| 16 Oct, 00:45 | 79.0% |
| 16 Oct, 01:45 | 79.1% |
| 16 Oct, 02:45 | 79.2% |
| 16 Oct, 03:30 | 79.4% |
| 16 Oct, 03:45 | 79.1% |
| 16 Oct, 04:00 | 79.1% |
| 16 Oct, 04:15 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 04:30 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 04:45 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:00 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:15 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:30 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:45 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 06:00 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 06:15 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 06:30 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 06:45 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:00 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:15 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:30 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:45 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:00 | 79.3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:30 | 78.3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:45 | 78.0% |
| 16 Oct, 09:00 | 77.8% |
| 16 Oct, 09:15 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 09:30 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 09:45 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 10:00 | 78.0% |
| 16 Oct, 10:15 | 78.3% |
| 16 Oct, 10:45 | 78.3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:15 | 78.3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 | 78.4% |
| 16 Oct, 11:45 | 78.1% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 | 78.3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:15 | 77.8% |
| 16 Oct, 12:30 | 77.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:45 | 77.1% |
| 16 Oct, 13:00 | 76.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:15 | 76.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:30 | 76.5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 | 76.5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:00 | 76.5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:15 | 76.4% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 15:00 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 15:15 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 15:30 | 76.5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:45 | 76.8% |
| 16 Oct, 16:00 | 76.6% |
| 16 Oct, 16:15 | 76.8% |
| 16 Oct, 16:30 | 76.8% |
| 16 Oct, 16:45 | 76.7% |
| 16 Oct, 17:00 | 76.7% |
| 16 Oct, 17:30 | 76.8% |
| 16 Oct, 17:45 | 76.1% |
| 16 Oct, 18:00 | 76.6% |
| 16 Oct, 18:15 | 76.4% |
| 16 Oct, 18:30 | 76.5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:45 | 76.6% |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | 76.6% |
| 16 Oct, 19:15 | 76.7% |
| 16 Oct, 19:30 | 76.8% |
| 16 Oct, 19:45 | 76.6% |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | 76.4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:15 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 20:30 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 20:45 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 21:45 | 76.3% |
| 16 Oct, 22:00 | 76.6% |
| 16 Oct, 22:15 | 77.3% |
| 16 Oct, 22:30 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 22:45 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 23:00 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 23:15 | 77.5% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 | 77.6% |
| 16 Oct, 23:45 | 77.6% |
| 17 Oct, 00:00 | 77.6% |
| 17 Oct, 00:15 | 77.6% |
| 17 Oct, 00:30 | 77.4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:45 | 77.6% |
| 17 Oct, 01:00 | 77.6% |
| 17 Oct, 01:15 | 77.7% |
| 17 Oct, 01:30 | 77.8% |
| 17 Oct, 01:45 | 77.8% |
| 17 Oct, 02:00 | 77.8% |
| 17 Oct, 02:15 | 77.8% |
| 17 Oct, 02:30 | 77.8% |
| 17 Oct, 02:45 | 77.8% |
| 17 Oct, 03:15 | 77.3% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 | 77.3% |
| 17 Oct, 03:45 | 77.3% |
| 17 Oct, 04:00 | 77.3% |
| 17 Oct, 04:15 | 77.3% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 | 77.5% |
| 17 Oct, 05:00 | 77.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:15 | 77.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:30 | 77.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:45 | 77.1% |
| 17 Oct, 06:00 | 77.0% |
| 17 Oct, 06:15 | 77.1% |
| 17 Oct, 06:30 | 77.0% |
| 17 Oct, 06:45 | 77.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | 77.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:15 | 77.0% |
| 17 Oct, 07:30 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 07:45 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 08:00 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 08:15 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 08:30 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 08:45 | 76.4% |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | 76.4% |
| 17 Oct, 09:15 | 76.5% |
| 17 Oct, 09:45 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 10:00 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 10:15 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 10:45 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 11:00 | 76.8% |
| 17 Oct, 11:15 | 76.5% |
| 17 Oct, 11:30 | 76.5% |
| 17 Oct, 11:45 | 76.6% |
- 24h
- -1.3pp
- Volume
- $484,859
Why it moved
No editor note yet.
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.1%
| Time (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 21:45 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 22:00 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 22:15 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 22:30 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 22:45 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 23:00 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 23:15 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 | 0.1% |
| 16 Oct, 23:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 00:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 00:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 00:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 00:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 01:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 01:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 01:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 01:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 02:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 02:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 02:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 02:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 03:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 03:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 04:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 04:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 06:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 06:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 06:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 06:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 07:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 07:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 07:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 08:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 08:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 08:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 08:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 09:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 09:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 10:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 10:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 10:45 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 11:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 11:15 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 11:30 | 0.1% |
| 17 Oct, 11:45 | 0.1% |
- 24h
- 0.0pp
- Volume
- $482,531
Why it moved
No editor note yet.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23.5%
| Time (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 12:45 | 20.5% |
| 15 Oct, 13:45 | 20.5% |
| 15 Oct, 14:45 | 20.5% |
| 15 Oct, 15:45 | 22.5% |
| 15 Oct, 16:45 | 25.5% |
| 15 Oct, 17:45 | 23.5% |
| 15 Oct, 18:45 | 22.5% |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | 21.5% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 | 23.5% |
| 15 Oct, 21:45 | 23.5% |
| 15 Oct, 22:45 | 21.5% |
| 15 Oct, 23:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 00:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 01:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 02:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 03:30 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 03:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:00 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:15 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:30 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:00 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:15 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:30 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 06:00 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 06:15 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 06:30 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 06:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:00 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:15 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:30 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:45 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 08:00 | 20.5% |
| 16 Oct, 08:30 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 08:45 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:00 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:15 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:45 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:00 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:15 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:45 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 11:15 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 11:45 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 | 21.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:15 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:45 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:15 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:30 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:15 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:15 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:45 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 16:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 16:15 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 16:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 16:45 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 17:00 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 17:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 17:45 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:00 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:15 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:45 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 19:15 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 19:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 19:45 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 20:15 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 20:30 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 20:45 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 21:45 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 22:00 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 22:15 | 23.5% |
| 16 Oct, 22:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 22:45 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 23:00 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 23:15 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 | 22.5% |
| 16 Oct, 23:45 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:00 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:15 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:30 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:45 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 01:00 | 21.5% |
| 17 Oct, 01:15 | 21.5% |
| 17 Oct, 01:30 | 21.5% |
| 17 Oct, 01:45 | 21.5% |
| 17 Oct, 02:00 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 02:15 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 02:30 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 02:45 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 03:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 03:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 04:00 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 04:15 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 | 22.5% |
| 17 Oct, 05:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 05:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 05:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 05:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 06:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 06:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 06:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 06:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 07:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 07:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 07:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 08:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 08:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 08:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 08:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 09:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 09:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 10:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 10:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 10:45 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 11:00 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 11:15 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 11:30 | 23.5% |
| 17 Oct, 11:45 | 23.5% |
- 24h
- +1.0pp
- Volume
- $423,412
Why it moved
No editor note yet.
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.4%
| Time (UTC) | Probability |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct, 12:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 13:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 14:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 15:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 16:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 17:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 18:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 21:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 22:45 | 0.4% |
| 15 Oct, 23:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 00:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 01:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 02:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 03:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 03:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 04:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 04:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 04:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 04:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 05:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 05:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 05:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 05:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 06:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 06:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 06:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 06:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 07:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 07:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 07:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 07:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 08:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 08:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 08:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 09:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 09:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 09:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 09:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 10:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 10:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 10:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 11:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 11:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 12:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 12:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 12:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 14:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 14:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 15:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 15:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 15:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 15:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 16:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 16:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 16:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 16:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 17:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 17:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 17:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 18:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 18:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 18:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 18:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 19:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 19:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 19:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 21:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 22:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 22:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 22:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 22:45 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 23:00 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 23:15 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 | 0.4% |
| 16 Oct, 23:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 01:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 01:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 01:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 01:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 02:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 02:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 02:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 02:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 03:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 03:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 04:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 04:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 05:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 05:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 05:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 05:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 06:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 06:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 06:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 06:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 07:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 07:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 07:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 08:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 08:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 08:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 08:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 09:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 09:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 10:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 10:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 10:45 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 11:00 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 11:15 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 11:30 | 0.4% |
| 17 Oct, 11:45 | 0.4% |
- 24h
- 0.0pp
- Volume
- $350,020
Why it moved
No editor note yet.
Markets news
6 recent pieces of our reporting on the venues, the infrastructure and the numbers on this page.
Coinbase Completes U.S. Derivatives Infrastructure With CFTC Clearing Approval
Coinbase adds a CFTC-registered clearinghouse to its existing derivatives exchange and brokerage infrastructure.
Underdog Expands Prediction Market Surveillance Through Eventus Partnership
Eventus and Underdog collaborate on surveillance and compliance for prediction markets.

Genius Sports Launches Prediction.Com To Compare Event Contract Prices Across Prediction Markets
Genius Sports Limited launches Prediction.com, a consumer platform that lets users discover prediction markets, compare equivalent event contracts across multiple venues and follow how market probabilities change during live events.

Prediction Frontier Weekly Is Back. Here’s What We’ve Been Building.
Sports are still driving much of the activity. But the conversation is moving towards market infrastructure and whether prediction markets can support real institutional use.

Gemini, Apex Partner on Regulated Crypto Prediction Markets
Gemini and Apex Plan Partnership to Bring Crypto Event Contracts to Brokerage Customers

River Markets Raises $8.5M Seed Round to Build Prime Brokerage for Prediction Markets
River Markets has raised $8.5 million in seed funding led by Haun Ventures to build unified execution and risk infrastructure for professional prediction market traders.
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