Education & Learn
Prediction markets, properly explained — from a 10-minute primer to a full curriculum on regulation, platform mechanics, and data analysis.
Start here
New to prediction markets? Start with the primer. Ten minutes. No prior knowledge required. By the end you will be able to read a prediction market price, understand what it does and does not tell you, and explain to a friend why this is not a betting pool.
Read the 10-minute primer →How-to guides
Practical guides for specific tasks.
How Prediction Markets Work — And Why They’re Smarter Than Any Single Expert
Prediction markets turn collective knowledge into live probability estimates. Here’s how they work, how probabilities are represented in markets, and why prices aggregate information better than polls or pundits.
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The Jump Problem: Why Leveraging Prediction Markets Is Structurally Different From Every Other Form of Borrowed-Capital Trading
The case for and against leverage on prediction markets.
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Solving the Jump Problem: Can We Finally Bring Leverage to Prediction Markets?
We’re looking at the most credible solutions on the table, who’s building them, and what trade-offs come with each.
Read →Cross-Platform Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
Coming soon.
Read →AMMs vs Order Books
Coming soon.
Read →Kalshi Trading Guide
Coming soon.
Read →Beginner series
A structured introduction. Read in order.
01
Beginner Series 1: How to Make Money on Prediction Markets [A 2026 Guide]
This article is for newcomers to Prediction Markets. It includes practical strategies, personal anecdotes, and actionable tips for getting started profitably.
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02
Beginner Series 2: Prediction Markets vs Traditional Betting: What’s the Difference?
Comparison content that helps users understand key differences in mechanics, fees, flexibility, and use cases.
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03
Beginner Series 3: Top Prediction Market Platforms in 2026: Africa Edition
Ranking the best prediction market platforms growing in the African space today. Africa’s rising stars in the prediction market space, including Predera, 5050 Markets, GUAP Gold, and more.
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04
Beginner Series 4: How to Navigate, Profit From, and Use Political Prediction Markets as Your Information Edge
The article flows naturally from regulatory context → why markets work → how to read them → how to profit → future outlook, giving readers both the “why” and the “how” of political prediction markets!
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05
Beginner Series 5 (I): Crypto Prediction Markets Explained: USDC, Wallets, and Getting Started
A detailed technical guide demystifying crypto infrastructure on prediction markets. This is for beginners, traditional bettors, and newcomers in the space, covering wallets, stablecoins, and Polygon.
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06
Beginner Series 5(II): Crypto Prediction Markets Explained: Mastering Polymarket’s Crypto Categories
This is a comprehensive introduction to the world of crypto prediction markets. The article covers the crypto prediction market landscape, the different market types, and how to shift your mindset while dealing with these markets.
Read →Curriculum
A structured walk-through of the key topics.
Platform reviews
Independent reviews of the platforms that matter.
Data & analysis
Advanced modules for researchers, analysts, and quants.
Learn it. Then use it.
A short lesson, every week.
One concept explained in plain English, every Friday. Built for the curious, the professional, and the practitioner.