Markets · Geopolitics & conflict
Geopolitics & conflict prediction markets turned over $3.4m across 2 venues in the last 24 hours, down 22% on the prior period.
98 live contracts in this category.
All Geopolitics & conflict markets live data
Every venue we track, for the window you choose.
$3.4m
Total notional volume
-21.9% vs prior 24h
—
Prediction markets unique users
no prior period yet
—
Total market transactions
no prior period yet
—
Total open interest
no prior period yet
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | $3.4m | 100.0% |
| Kalshi | — | — |
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | — |
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | — |
| Venue | Value | Share of total |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | — |
Reported in US dollars: Polymarket. Not reported in US dollars: Kalshi — those venues are left out of the dollar totals rather than converted.
Last updated
- Polymarket17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 13m ago
- Kalshi03 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC · 14d ago
Today's top 10 geopolitics & conflict markets
Ranked by 24-hour volume where the venue reports it. Filters stay in the address, so the view can be shared.
| # | Market | Leading outcome | Volume | Open interest | Ends | Status | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | No 99.9% | 838,651.464 | — | 15 Sept 2026 | open | |
| 2 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | Yes 100.0% | $536,905 | — | 12 Oct 2026 | open | |
| 3 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | Yes 100.0% | $519,633 | — | 13 Oct 2026 | open | |
| 4 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | No 99.9% | 511,609.882 | — | 31 Aug 2026 | open | |
| 5 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | Yes 99.7% | $453,165 | — | 30 Sept 2026 | open | |
| 6 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | No 100.0% | $377,868 | — | 24 Sept 2026 | open | |
| 7 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | Yes 99.9% | $339,926 | — | 17 Oct 2026 | open | |
| 8 | Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | — — | $320,702 | — | 04 Oct 2026 | open | |
| 9 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | Yes 79.5% | $307,273 | — | 31 Oct 2026 | open | |
| 10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?PolymarketGeopolitics & conflict | Yes 100.0% | $280,252 | — | 20 Sept 2026 | open |
1US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
99.9% No · 838,651.464
2US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
100.0% Yes · $536,905
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
100.0% Yes · $519,633
4US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
99.9% No · 511,609.882
5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
99.7% Yes · $453,165
6Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?
100.0% No · $377,868
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?
99.9% Yes · $339,926
8Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
— — · $320,702
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
79.5% Yes · $307,273
10US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?
100.0% Yes · $280,252