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Neville Munjogu

Neville Munjogu

Analyst

Prediction markets are more than trading venues—they are living systems where information, incentives, and probability converge. My work is driven by understanding how these systems evolve and what they reveal about markets, technology, and decision-making. As an Analyst at Prediction Frontier, I research the forces shaping the prediction markets ecosystem, from platform design and market structure to liquidity, regulation, and participant behavior. Drawing on more than four years of experience in cryptocurrency and Web3, together with a year dedicated to prediction markets, my goal is to deliver objective, well-researched coverage that helps readers better understand the prediction economy while contributing to informed discussions around its development. I approach every topic with a commitment to clarity, evidence, and intellectual curiosity. Whether unpacking market mechanics or examining emerging trends, my goal is to help readers move beyond the headlines and develop a deeper understanding of the prediction economy.

Articles by Neville Munjogu

11 pieces
Regulation & Policy

Coinbase Completes U.S. Derivatives Infrastructure With CFTC Clearing Approval

Coinbase adds a CFTC-registered clearinghouse to its existing derivatives exchange and brokerage infrastructure.

Neville Munjogu · September 29, 2026
Funding

Raven Draws Coinbase Ventures, CMCC Global Investment for Prediction-Market Push

The trading firm is expanding its prediction-market liquidity business with backing from two major blockchain investors.

Neville Munjogu · September 29, 2026
Market Infrastructure

Underdog Expands Prediction Market Surveillance Through Eventus Partnership

Eventus and Underdog collaborate on surveillance and compliance for prediction markets.

Neville Munjogu · September 24, 2026
Responsible Gaming

Underdog Expands Consumer Protection With Birches Health Partnership

Underdog is expanding its consumer protection efforts by connecting users with specialized gambling disorder education and treatment through Birches Health.

Neville Munjogu · September 23, 2026
Regulation & Policy

CFTC Issues Advisory on Event Contracts Tied to Individual Conduct

CFTC detail the regulatory considerations DCMs should address when offering “mention market” event contracts.

Neville Munjogu · September 23, 2026
Regulation & Policy

Gemini, Apex Partner on Regulated Crypto Prediction Markets

Gemini and Apex Plan Partnership to Bring Crypto Event Contracts to Brokerage Customers

Neville Munjogu · August 24, 2026
Kalshi

CFTC Takes Emergency Action Following New York Lawsuit Against Kalshi

The CFTC has ordered KalshiEX to continue operating under federal derivatives rules as the exchange faces a legal challenge from New York.

Neville Munjogu · August 12, 2026
Market Intelligence

Polymarket Ditched Single-Price Settlement for TWAP — Here's What Changed for Traders

On August 7, 2026, Polymarket's crypto up/down markets stopped resolving on a single price snapshot. Here's what a TWAP is, why Polymarket needed one, and what actually changed for anyone trading these markets.

Neville Munjogu · August 11, 2026
Market Infrastructure

STX Implements Eventus Surveillance Platform for Event Contracts Market

Eventus will provide trade surveillance technology for STX's event contracts platform as the exchange prepares for launch.

Neville Munjogu · August 5, 2026
Kalshi

Kalshi Affiliate Kinetic Markets Selects Solidus Labs for Trade Surveillance

Kinetic Markets has selected Solidus Labs to provide trade surveillance as the futures commission merchant expands oversight ahead of onboarding institutional participants.

Neville Munjogu · August 3, 2026
Market Infrastructure

Eventus, Rothera Announce Trade Surveillance Deployment for Event Contract Exchange

Rothera has selected Eventus' Validus platform to support market surveillance, regulatory compliance and oversight of its rapidly growing event contract markets.

Neville Munjogu · July 28, 2026
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