
Neville Munjogu
Analyst
Prediction markets are more than trading venues—they are living systems where information, incentives, and probability converge. My work is driven by understanding how these systems evolve and what they reveal about markets, technology, and decision-making. As an Analyst at Prediction Frontier, I research the forces shaping the prediction markets ecosystem, from platform design and market structure to liquidity, regulation, and participant behavior. Drawing on more than four years of experience in cryptocurrency and Web3, together with a year dedicated to prediction markets, my goal is to deliver objective, well-researched coverage that helps readers better understand the prediction economy while contributing to informed discussions around its development. I approach every topic with a commitment to clarity, evidence, and intellectual curiosity. Whether unpacking market mechanics or examining emerging trends, my goal is to help readers move beyond the headlines and develop a deeper understanding of the prediction economy.
Articles by Neville Munjogu
6 pieces
Gemini, Apex Partner on Regulated Crypto Prediction Markets
Gemini and Apex Plan Partnership to Bring Crypto Event Contracts to Brokerage Customers
CFTC Takes Emergency Action Following New York Lawsuit Against Kalshi
The CFTC has ordered KalshiEX to continue operating under federal derivatives rules as the exchange faces a legal challenge from New York.

Polymarket Ditched Single-Price Settlement for TWAP — Here's What Changed for Traders
On August 7, 2026, Polymarket's crypto up/down markets stopped resolving on a single price snapshot. Here's what a TWAP is, why Polymarket needed one, and what actually changed for anyone trading these markets.
STX Implements Eventus Surveillance Platform for Event Contracts Market
Eventus will provide trade surveillance technology for STX's event contracts platform as the exchange prepares for launch.

Kalshi Affiliate Kinetic Markets Selects Solidus Labs for Trade Surveillance
Kinetic Markets has selected Solidus Labs to provide trade surveillance as the futures commission merchant expands oversight ahead of onboarding institutional participants.

Eventus, Rothera Announce Trade Surveillance Deployment for Event Contract Exchange
Rothera has selected Eventus' Validus platform to support market surveillance, regulatory compliance and oversight of its rapidly growing event contract markets.