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Neville Munjogu

Neville Munjogu

Analyst

Prediction markets are more than trading venues—they are living systems where information, incentives, and probability converge. My work is driven by understanding how these systems evolve and what they reveal about markets, technology, and decision-making. As an Analyst at Prediction Frontier, I research the forces shaping the prediction markets ecosystem, from platform design and market structure to liquidity, regulation, and participant behavior. Drawing on more than four years of experience in cryptocurrency and Web3, together with a year dedicated to prediction markets, my goal is to deliver objective, well-researched coverage that helps readers better understand the prediction economy while contributing to informed discussions around its development. I approach every topic with a commitment to clarity, evidence, and intellectual curiosity. Whether unpacking market mechanics or examining emerging trends, my goal is to help readers move beyond the headlines and develop a deeper understanding of the prediction economy.

Articles by Neville Munjogu

25 pieces
Regulation & Policy

Polymarket announces NFA approval for PM Derivatives

NFA records show FCM registration on 30 October, but list the broker as inactive. Polymarket says positions will be fully collateralised.

Neville Munjogu · November 4, 2026
Funding

CRSHMARKET raises $3.5M for livestream prediction markets

6th Man Ventures reportedly led the seed round for a Monad-powered platform where viewers predict what happens next in live content.

Neville Munjogu · November 3, 2026
Sports

Ballon d’Or owner prepares complaint over Polymarket bets

Groupe Amaury is preparing a complaint over suspected leaks and Polymarket betting, AFP reports. Wallet patterns have not established wrongdoing.

Neville Munjogu · November 3, 2026
Launch

Aries launches ForecastEx prediction markets ahead of US midterms

Aries Mobile adds election, economic and financial contracts through ForecastEx. Separate accounts are required, while API and MCP access remain planned.

Neville Munjogu · October 31, 2026
Finance

Coinbase prediction markets top $200M in annualised revenue

Coinbase reports over $200 million in annualised prediction-market revenue, growing daily traders and plans for USDC-native in-house clearing.

Neville Munjogu · October 31, 2026
Sports

76ers name Kalshi prediction-market partner in multiyear deal

The Philadelphia 76ers named Kalshi their official prediction-market partner, announcing fan programmes and a SEPTA activation after the NBA’s league deal.

Neville Munjogu · October 31, 2026
Funding

Kalshi raises $1 billion at $40 billion valuation

Wellington and Sequoia co-led Kalshi's Series G. The financing comes as the company expands beyond event contracts and reports non-sports revenue.

Neville Munjogu · October 29, 2026
Crypto

Predict.fun delays PREDICT token generation and Season 1 claims

Predict.fun has postponed PREDICT token generation and Season 1 claims alongside Binance Alpha and Spot trading. No revised claim time is confirmed.

Neville Munjogu · October 29, 2026
Sports

Saquon Barkley says NFL rules forced his Polymarket exit

Barkley told Front Office Sports he left his Polymarket investment because of NFL rules. The report does not identify when he divested or on what terms.

Neville Munjogu · October 29, 2026
Finance

Robinhood’s prediction-market revenue reaches $173 million in Q3

Robinhood reported $173 million in Q3 event-contract revenue and 16.4 billion contracts traded, while Rothera passed a $100 million annualised revenue rate.

Neville Munjogu · October 28, 2026
Market Infrastructure

Rothera names seven executives after 6 billion contracts

Rothera announces seven executive hires and promotions across risk, compliance and technology after reporting 6 billion cumulative contracts traded.

Neville Munjogu · October 27, 2026
Regulation & Policy

Nasdaq seeks CFTC approval for inflation prediction markets

Nasdaq MRX Futures proposes headline and core CPI prediction markets paying $100 or $0. Its CFTC exchange application remains pending.

Neville Munjogu · October 27, 2026
Market Infrastructure

OG.com sets out combo market-maker incentive programme

OG.com’s filing sets out incentives for combo market makers, with an October 23 effective date and no change to taker fees.

Neville Munjogu · October 26, 2026
Market Infrastructure

Crypto.com, OG.com Partner With River Markets to Expand Institutional Prediction Markets Access

An October 20 MoU would connect River Markets’ prime brokerage with OG.com’s regulated event contracts and Crypto.com Exchange liquidity. Here is what it means—and what remains unproven.

Neville Munjogu · October 20, 2026
Regulation & Policy

Coinbase Adds CFTC-Registered Clearinghouse for Derivatives

Coinbase adds a CFTC-registered clearinghouse to its existing derivatives exchange and brokerage infrastructure.

Neville Munjogu · September 29, 2026
Funding

Raven Funding: Coinbase Ventures, CMCC and a $90M Valuation

Coinbase Ventures and CMCC Global back Raven at a $90M pre-money valuation as the trading firm expands liquidity provision across prediction markets.

Neville Munjogu · September 29, 2026
Market Infrastructure

Underdog Uses Eventus Validus for Market Surveillance

Underdog uses Eventus Validus to monitor its prediction-market exchange, with configurable alerts and surveillance designed to scale across its markets.

Neville Munjogu · September 24, 2026
Responsible Gaming

Underdog Expands Consumer Protection With Birches Health Partnership

Underdog is expanding its consumer protection efforts by connecting users with specialized gambling disorder education and treatment through Birches Health.

Neville Munjogu · September 23, 2026
Regulation & Policy

CFTC Mention-Market Advisory: Manipulation and Contract Rules

The CFTC’s mention-market advisory addresses manipulation risks, contract design and safeguards that designated contract markets should consider.

Neville Munjogu · September 23, 2026
Regulation & Policy

Gemini and Apex Plan Crypto Event Contracts for Brokerages

A Gemini–Apex letter of intent would bring crypto event contracts to brokerage customers, using Gemini’s exchange and clearing infrastructure.

Neville Munjogu · August 24, 2026
Kalshi

CFTC Orders Kalshi to Keep Operating Amid New York Lawsuit

The CFTC has ordered KalshiEX to continue operating under federal derivatives rules as the exchange faces a legal challenge from New York.

Neville Munjogu · August 12, 2026
Market Intelligence

Polymarket Ditched Single-Price Settlement for TWAP — Here's What Changed for Traders

On August 7, 2026, Polymarket's crypto up/down markets stopped resolving on a single price snapshot. Here's what a TWAP is, why Polymarket needed one, and what actually changed for anyone trading these markets.

Neville Munjogu · August 11, 2026
Market Infrastructure

STX Deploys Eventus Validus for Event-Contract Surveillance

STX has deployed Eventus Validus as it prepares an event-contract exchange and clearing platform, with its CFTC applications still pending at publication.

Neville Munjogu · August 5, 2026
Kalshi

Kinetic Markets Selects Solidus Labs for FCM Surveillance

Kalshi’s FCM affiliate Kinetic Markets selects Solidus Labs for surveillance ahead of institutional margin accounts, subject to relevant regulatory approvals.

Neville Munjogu · August 3, 2026
Market Infrastructure

Rothera Deploys Eventus Validus for Event-Contract Surveillance

Rothera deploys Eventus Validus and Frank AI for surveillance as its event-contract exchange expands fully collateralised and margin products.

Neville Munjogu · July 28, 2026
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