
Andrew Lujan Odera
Co-founder, Education & Technical Lead
I lead education and technical content at Prediction Frontier, an independent media, research, and education platform covering the global prediction markets ecosystem. My work is focused on making prediction market mechanics — probability calibration, automated market makers, oracle design, and event contract structures — rigorous, accessible, and relevant to a broader audience. I develop research, technical explainers, and educational programming that bridges theory and practice across all prediction market platforms. I am also engaged in the regulatory conversation around prediction markets in Kenya, working to advance informed, evidence-based policy dialogue with institutions such as the Capital Markets Authority. My role reflects a precise mission: to educate, contextualize, and report with calibration.
Articles by Andrew Lujan Odera
19 pieces
Susquehanna Commits $500 Million to Let Companies Hedge World Cup Risk on Prediction Markets
Susquehanna Commits $500 Million to Let Companies Hedge World Cup Risk on Prediction Markets

EU Regulator Warns Prediction Market Operators May Already Fall Under Binary Options Ban
The MiFID II authorisation requirement applies even to firms distributing qualifying event contracts solely to professional or institutional clients, closing off a retail-exclusion workaround.

Polymarket Reaches Türkiye Through Paribu Integration, the First Exchange-native Integration of Prediction Markets
Paribu, Türkiye's largest digital asset exchange, has integrated Polymarket into its app
World Launches as a Native, Fully On-chain Prediction Market on Solana
The Solana ecosystem's longest-running mystery project just went live — inside Phantom, with Chainlink oracle infrastructure, and crypto plus World Cup markets at launch.

What the World Cup Is Teaching Institutions About Prediction Markets
A $64M market went to zero in 90 minutes. Two tournament favourites fell hours apart. What are prediction markets teaching institutions right now?

Kalshi Breaks $30 Billion in Monthly Notional Volume as Reported $40 Billion Valuation Looms
The prediction market exchange just shattered its own record and may be heading for the largest private raise in the industry's history.

Group I Matchday 3: France vs Norway — The Group Stage's Defining Confrontation
Group I Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 | Pre-Match Analysis & Odds

Group H Matchday 3: Spain Protect Their Bracket, Uruguay Chase History, and Cape Verde Dare to Dream
Group H Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 | Pre-Match Analysis & Odds

Group G Matchday 3: Egypt Guard Their Lead, Belgium Play for Survival, and Iran Need a Miracle
Group G Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 Pre-Match Analysis & Odds

Group F Matchday 3 Odds: The Group of Death Delivers Its Final Verdict
Group F Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

Group E Matchday 3 Odds: Germany Takes a Bow, But Second Place Has Real Stakes
Group E Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

Group D Matchday 3 Odds: Australia vs Paraguay — One Knockout Ticket Left, Possibly 2?
Group D Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

Group C Matchday 3 Odds: Scotland's Last Stand and Morocco's Throne
Group C Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

Group B Matchday 3: Canada's Home Final — Who Tops the Group at BC Place?
Matchday 3 Group B World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

Group A Matchday 3 Odds: Mexico Rolls On, But South Korea's Seat Is Far From Safe
Group A Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

England v Ghana Matchday 2 World Cup Odds: Kane and Three Lions Eye Knockout Stages
Matchday 2 World Cup 2026 Odds and Pre-Match Analysis

Argentina v Austria Matchday 2 World Cup Odds: Messi Looking To Break World Cup Goal Scoring Record
Matchday 2 Odds and Predictions on Polymarket and Kalshi

$700 Million Says Spain Will Win the 2026 World Cup — But France Is Closing Fast
Polymarket has attracted over $700 million in bets on the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner

The $1 Billion Coin Flip: FIFA 2026 World Cup’s Biggest Markets
France 18%. Spain 17%. Neymar 92%. And a halftime market that got it 99% wrong. Here’s what $1 billion of real money is really saying about the 2026 World Cup — and how to read it before you do.